IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. Atlanta Falcons +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total), New coach, new offensive coordinator just too much newness for me., That being said, going 2-8 in one-score games last year was a killer, and if the ball bounces differently in 2021, maybe theyre hovering around .500. Jacksonville was the worst team in the league last year, but the Jaguars were competitive in half of their games (seven of their losses were by one score). Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? The team that benefited from Norwood's egregious error, the New York Giants, was not particularly exceptional. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. Twelve franchises have never captured a Super Bowl title. The least memorable of the Giants four Super Bowl wins also happened to be their most dominant. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. It's what helps people grow. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. 2007 Giants, 2007 Patriots, 2006 Colts, or the 2009 Saints, with a 25th overall defense, could say they were all the worst defensive teams to win a 32. Why? Top draft picks Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr. should help, but did Buffalo do enough to shore up the biggest hole on its roster? Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Bengals will be improved, but theyre not higher on this list for three reasons:. 5h. Had Rodgers simply decided to retire rather than suit up, Green Bay's chances to make the playoffs would have dropped from 70% to 24%, and their Super Bowl chances would have dropped from 6% to 0.2%. Cleveland already has one of the game's best pass rushers in Myles Garrett and cornerbacks in Denzel Ward. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. Losing three offensive linemen is gonna sting. The aforementioned Dilfer-led passing game ranked only 23rd in the regular season (in fairness to Dilfer, he did replace Tony Banks midway through the year), and the only time the chains seemed to move was when rookie Jamal Lewis barreled forward for three or four yards. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. And Chicago finds itself with eight games against FPI's top 10 teams: at Rams, at Browns, at Bucs, vs. 49ers, vs. Ravens, at Seahawks and then a home-and-home with the Packers. Mahomes becomes the first quarterback to win the regular-season NFL most-valuable-player award and the Super Bowl in the same season in 23 years. Two years ago, the 49ers were 10 minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, and they return eight defensive starters from that team. "Broadway Joe" completed just 49.2 percent of his passes during the season and threw two more interceptions (17) than he did touchdowns (15). A.J. 51. One of the bigger mismatches in Super Bowl history, this one gets bonus points for being the first one and the Chiefs actually keeping things interesting for 30 minutes after going into the half trailing by only four points. 3. Arizona Cardinals +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Yes, they got older with J.J. Watt and A.J. Buffalo also addedEmmanuel Sanders to the mix, making the passing game even more formidable. They played in plenty of close games, and Steve McNair and Eddie George were superb. Again, this is all dependent on how Darnold plays. A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. When Indianapolis traded for Wentz, the organization bet on a bounce-back year from the former Eagles quarterback. 31. This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. The Browns also have a good defense that improved with the additions of John Johnson III at safety, Anthony Walker and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah at linebacker, Jadeveon Clowney at edge rusher, and Greg Newsome II at cornerback. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? Again, FPI doesn't think the division is much-improved. Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. But the Super Bowl? 5. I'd argue their offense was a little more productive, but that being said, the 1990 team still beat them out. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. Drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell was a questionable move, especially since Cincinnati's atrocious offensive line led to franchise quarterback Joe Burrow tearing his ACL in his rookie season. Forget about Super Bowl history, this was one of the best games in the history of American sports. The universe wont let the Vikings back in the Super Bowl because all of the ones they made in the 70s ended up being unwatchable. OK, so this game was never in doubt, this was Bill Walshs 49ers dynasty at its apex. They stole all-pro center Corey Linsley from the Packers and drafted Rashawn Slater in the first round.. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. Brett Favre was brilliant in his only Super Bowl win. Herbert will have more protection to connect with a talented cast of offensive weapons as the Chargers rebuilt their offensive line centered around All-Pro Corey Linsley and first-round pick Rashawn Slater. BUT this 14-2 Atlanta Falcons team was no slouch. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. A 4.47 shuttle is extremely rare. An 115 team that didn't exceed in anything, but had John Elway. Top 5 in both points for and against, the Vikings 10-win record kept them from being higher on this list. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense You have a few precious hours left to scout rosters, analyze schedules, weigh injuries and place your futures bets on who is going to win Super Bowl 56. 27. So its only fitting that the winner of Super Bowl 53 will have a defense that finished the regular season below the league average. Las Vegas Raiders +6600 (bet $10 to win $670 total), One of the most dysfunctional teams in the league, the Raiders once again scream "stay away. Three different QBs started six games. What puts Baltimore on this list is the lack of offensive prowess. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. Id say so, yes.. But hey, they did something right, they were in the Super Bowl. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. Now the Colts will need to stay afloat while he recovers from foot surgery, which likely will cause him to miss the beginning of the season. A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. A better offensive line will help Cousins out immensely, especially with playmakers like Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielenand Irv Smith. The defense got a huge boost with the signing of Haason Reddick and top 10 pick Jaycee Horn, but Carolina still has to deal with Tampa Bay and New Orleans in the NFC South. There's talent on the Falcons, but they are such an unknown heading into 2021. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. It was never even close as the Seahawks dominated from the opening snap. The Chiefs defense also surrendered 31 points. The game that gave us all of those 28-3 jokes. Reporting on what you care about. FPI then uses those ratings to simulate the season 20,000 times to create projections. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. This team just wasn't ready to win it all yet, but still a very good all-around team with a sneaky productive defense. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. The Chiefs win Green Bay looked as if it would blow the Steelers out but Ben Roethlisberger led a rally that cut the lead from 18 to three before Mason Crosby put the game away with a field goal. Tough division, and they open with three of four on the road. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. Michael Strahan and Keith Hamilton combined for 19.5 sacks, and the team had 44 total. Thats NFL history. There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. Chark will help Lawrence out immensely, especially with James Robinson, Carlos Hyde, and Travis Etienne capable of creating a balanced rushing attack. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. Winning close games and narrowly escaping the agony of defeat is one way to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and while that path may not be the most exciting or exhilarating, it has been traveled on multiple occasions. That was by design. And we'll start with the Chiefs: More: After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. Just how goofy was this game? We've been projecting preseason chances to get the top draft picks only since 2018, but no team has entered the year more likely to walk away from the No. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. Please check your email for a confirmation. All Rights Reserved. The 2007 New England Patriots won every game (160) and did so in tremendous fashion. The 2000 Baltimore Ravens featured one of the most stifling defenses ever assembled, allowing only 970 rushing yards all season and five rushing touchdowns. Fran Tarkenton is one of many players on this list that deserved a Super Bowl ring. WebWhat was the worst NFL offensive team to win a Super Bowl? At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. This game did feature one of the best defenses in NFL history, but watching it dismantle a Kerry Collins-led offense wasnt all that exciting. You can follow him on Twitter at @jasonrmcintyre. The 2005 Steelers are a prime example. As a Jets fan, I could build a flimsy case for the Jets to make the playoffs; I cant even fathom them having a shot at the Super Bowl. Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. 14. Tannehill is second in the league in passer rating (110.6), second in touchdown percentage (7.2) and first in yards per attempt (8.55). Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. Now, by most accounts, the Steelers were great in 1974. The Tennessee Titans are one of 12 teams in the NFL to have never won a Super Bowl, and according to one writer, they are the furthest away from doing so of those dozen teams. San Francisco's three games based on last year's standings are against the Eagles, Bengals and Falcons, who all rank 24th or worse in FPI. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. The Cardinals added more playmakers to surround Murray this offseason with A.J. Buffalo Bills +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total), They went 15-2 against teams not named the Kansas City Chiefs last year, but via Warren Sharp, heres an incredible stat: The Bills had the good fortune of facing three West Coast teams last season at 1 p.m. Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. 2) The AFC North is a filthy, disgusting mosh pit whence nobody comes out alive. They're the fifth-best team in football and have the fourth-best chance to win it all with a 6% shot, according to FPI. The game was expected to be a blowout Green Bay was favored by 13.5 points and it was. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. ), or the second-half Seahawks (only topped 30 points once in the final seven games, and it was vs the hapless Jets)?, Seattle has lost three of its past four playoff games and not made the NFC title game since 2014., 11. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. Brady and Belichick established the Patriots as a dynasty with their third Lombardi in four years. That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. Philly was actually favored before the game, but Oakland made the betting line look silly early on, getting out to a 21-3 lead. The Falcons still have Matt Ryan at quarterback, who has thrown for the most passing yards in the league over the last three years and has a emerging star in Calvin Ridley and a game-changing tight end in rookie first-rounderKyle Pitts. 12. And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. Obsessed with travel? But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. Two good-but-not-great teams playing an uncompetitive game with an unforgettable MVP? Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. If Murray can stay healthy, the sky's the limit for this team. Peyton Manning needed the Saints and Tracy Porter to not come marching in. Odell Beckham makes a highly anticipated return to a passing game that includes Jarvis Landry and an emerging Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Here is a quarterback guru who never could quite develop a quarterback as a head coach. What makes a great Super Bowl? This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. But they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFC (nine games against playoff teams from 2020), including a stretch that goes: at Baltimore, at Chargers, home vs Aaron Rodgers, at the 49ers. A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Brown (+1800) Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (+2200) DeVonta Smith, WR, Eagles (+3000) Haason Reddick, LB, Eagles (+3000) Chris Jones, DT, Chiefs (+4000) Article. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. The Jaguars and Jets are back-to-back in FPI's rankings -- at Nos. The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. Those first three are the Broncos' first three games of the season, an easy slate right off the bat. WebWell looking at it from a "in comparison to the rest of the league that year" perspective, as far as defenses that allowed the most points, these rank as the 3 worst defenses to win a Super Bowl: 2011 Giants were the 25th ranked defense 2006 Colts were the 23rd ranked defense 2009 Saints were the 20th ranked defense Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. The run offense needs to be stronger with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss as the offensive line has to create better holes up front to take the pressure off Allen. There have been some very random teams that reached the conference championship game in recent years (Titans and 49ers, 2020; Jaguars and Vikings 2018), though. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, C.J. It was the biggest upset in football history for a reason. It is not that these teams were not deserving of a Super Bowl, but rather that they do not stack up when compared to the greatest units the NFL has ever seen. This may not be the worst championship team of all time, but these This game will be decided at quarterback, and the daring superstar who joins Brady as the only quarterback to appear in three Super Bowls in his first six seasons is the pick here. Joe Montanas first Super Bowl win was nearly squandered after the 49ers let the Bengals nearly erase a 20-point deficit. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. Yet I can see the defense making a Washington-type leap, and the offensive weapons are there for whoever wins the starting job. He's a key piece in guiding Tennessee to its first championship. Matt Stafford, on the other hand, is learning a new offense, albeit with a smart coach and talented skill players. It was not only totally unexpected but it was made possible by a play-call that will be debated for years to come. Pittsburgh was just 7-5 through 12 games. The first five weeks of Indianapolis' schedule are rough, as the Colts host the Seahawks and Rams before hitting the road to face the Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. What should have been a great quarterback matchup Marino vs. Montana turned into a blowout as the Dolphins gunslinger couldnt keep up with the 49ers surgeon. It has to be the 2016 Atlanta Falcons. Up 28-3 at the end of the third quarter, they couldn't hold off the Patriots in the biggest game of the year And that's embodied by an extreme result: The NFC East is the only division that recorded a simulation with a five-win champion. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. Ken Anderson led his team to 124. Theyre basically the 2020 Patriots, who lost a Hall of Fame QB, had a ton of opt-outs defensively (the Saints lost five key contributors to free agency), and have no receivers (given the Michael Thomas surgery). Let us first acknowledge that four future Hall of Famers were drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers in 1974 (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, John Stallworth and Mike Webster). He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on every show on the network. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. Head coach Bill Cowher would get Super Bowl redemption the next decade, but this 115 team was pretty great all around. They had a top 5 offense and defense. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. A 124 record and a solid defense? A great passing defense helped elevate this Vikings team to a 122 record. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. They faced perfection, so how can you be harsh when talking about them? ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). Washington, despite being the reigning champ and making an improvement at quarterback in the form of Ryan Fitzpatrick, is second (29%), followed by the Giants (15%) and Eagles (11%). San Francisco 49ers +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total), Tricky to put San Francisco here given the uncertainty at QB, but theres no way they actually start 21-year-old Trey Lance, right?. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the The eventual champion Colts committed seven, count them, seven turnovers. Buffalo is in position to make another deep playoff run this season. Nobody has a tougher September schedule: vs Seattle, vs the Rams, at Tennessee, at Miami, at Baltimore. It has happened 8 times to 7 different teams. Interestingly enough, not only has no team won 3 in a row, not a single team has ever made it back to The Super Bowl has been around 55 years, yet more than a third of the league has never hoisted a Vince Lombardi Trophy. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft, with a 15% chance, followed by the Jets (10%), Jaguars (8%) and Eagles (7%). At 133, this defense was nasty by forcing 31 turnovers. Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. That's ridiculous. They were also had to win all their road playoff games, which during the time, was unheard of. Craving even more NFL coverage focusing on previews, recaps, news and analysis? Peyton Mannings struggles reinforced the notion that he could be great in the regular season but collapsed in the playoffs. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. Unsung, their defense only allowed 17.1 points per game. Something for everyone interested in hair, makeup, style, and body positivity. And the Chiefs would hold at least a 3.5-point edge over every team outside of the Bucs, Bills and Ravens. Which one is the most likely to remove itself from this dubious list? But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football -- and about the chances of each team's success -- which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. 3) Only one of their final seven opponents has a season win total under 8.5. 1: 3: 17: 313: 305: 40.0: Dallas Cowboys +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Realistically, Dallas is in the second tier of teams that could win the Super Bowl.. They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. Here are the 10 most likely Super Bowl LV matchups: The Green Bay Packers are clearly Super Bowl contenders. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! An 11-5 record was good enough for first place in the AFC East, yet New England was 5-5 through 10 games. In the end, FPI's projections for the Colts are not all that bad; they have a 44% chance to win the AFC South (second to the Titans) and a 59% shot to make the postseason. Cleveland Browns +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total), Are the Browns a better team than the Cowboys? ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. Because there is a salary cap. When teams win the players want raises forcing teams to lose some players. This is what is happening to Green Bay an 29. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. Cleveland hasn't been in a position to win a Super Bowl since Bernie Kosar led the franchise to consecutive AFC Championship Game appearances in the mid-1980s. Herbert has immensely changed the fortunes of a franchise that mired in mediocrity during Philip Rivers' final years. 1) How is coach Zac Taylor going to go from 6-25-1 to the Super Bowl? Same goes for this one. This Bills team should have won a Super Bowl and it is hard to believe looking back. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more, FOX SPORTS, SPEED, SPEED.COM & 2023 Fox Media LLC and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. This would have been yet another classic Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowl if Neil ODonnell didnt throw the game away. Sign up for the For The Win newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. As Rodgers' future hung in the balance over the summer, so too did the Packers' projections. If we made Lance the starter or partial starter, it would hurt the 49ers' projection because the model assumes Lance is a little worse than Garoppolo, as of now. section: | slug: ranking-12-teams-that-never-won-a-super-bowl-by-best-chance-to-win-title-in-2021-high-hopes-in-buffalo | sport: football | route: article_single.us | The game was won with Ben Roethlisbergers perfect pass to Santonio Holmes, who somehow got two feet down in the back of the end zone. As the tweet said, only 28 players have achieved that in the last decade-plus. Unfortunately, they had to go head-to-head with arguably the greatest defense of all-time in the '85 Bears. The defense ranked just 24th in the league that year, and a questionable call known as the "Tuck Rule" against the Oakland Raiders in the divisional round helped the Patriots reach the Super Bowl when many believed they did not belong. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. For starters, the NFC has nine road games this season, so a team from that conference was always likely to occupy the top spot. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. Another Broncos blowout. Star quarterback Phil Simms was injured during the playoffs, no player had more than 30 catches during the regular season and the team was carried by a great defense that allowed only 13.2 points per game. 4. Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst, and he also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. They started 1-7, fought back into playoff contention, and cratered down the stretch behind backup QB Colt McCoy.. Miami Dolphins +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), Miami led the NFL in two categories that they are unlikely to duplicate: takeaways (29) and 3rd down defense (31%); they were also seventh in red zone defense. Cleveland has the game's top running back tandem in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, a duo head coach Kevin Stefanski utilizes heavily in the offense. Therefore, designating Garoppolo as the starter seemed the safer choice. You can make a case that every team that endured the best shots from every one of their opponents throughout the season, found a way to win enough Keep in mind, those numbers assume there is some chance Wentz plays in each of these games, particularly the later ones. A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. Houston Texans +20000 (bet $10 to win $2010 total), Lowest win total on the board, uncertainty at QB, and a defense that cant stop a nose bleed.. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Kam Chancellor should have been MVP. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. Keep in mind, the Larry Fitzgerald touchdown catch (pictured above) was to go ahead with 2:37 left in the game. While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl.